PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Rep Primary - NJ ResultsPolls
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Source: Monmouth University (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
McCainRepublican55%pie
Poll Date: 2008-02-01
Number Polled: 555
Margin of Error: 4%
Voter Type: Likely
RomneyRepublican23%
HuckabeeRepublican7%
OtherRepublican4%
-UndecidedRepublican11%

McCain Now Leads by 32% in NJ

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2008-02-03 @ 11:32:58

Question:
2. [ASKED OF LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS:] I’m going to read a list of
people running for the Republican nomination. After I read it, please tell me who you
would vote for if the primary were held today. [Names were rotated]
PARTY ID GENDER
Republicans
Likely
Primary
Voters
Known Past
Primary
Voters Only Republican Independent Male Female
John McCain 55% 48% 55% 57% 57% 53%
Mitt Romney 23% 29% 25% 16% 21% 25%
Mike Huckabee 7% 8% 7% 5% 7% 6%
Ron Paul 3% 3% 2% 9% 3% 4%
(VOL) Other 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Don’t know 11% 12% 10% 11% 9% 12%
Unwtd N 555 191 437 113 277 278
TREND: Feb’ 08 Jan’ 08 Oct ‘07 April ‘07
John McCain 55% 29% 12% 19%
Mitt Romney 23% 9% 8% 6%
Mike Huckabee 7% 11% 2% 1%
Ron Paul 3% 5% 1% n/a
Rudy Giuliani n/a 25% 44% 49%
Fred Thompson n/a 5% 10% n/a
Duncan Hunter n/a n/a 0% n/a
Tom Tancredo n/a n/a 1% n/a
(VOL) Other 1% 0% 1% 1%
Don’t know 11% 16% 20% 21%
Unwtd N 555 400 411 402

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
The Monmouth University/Gannett NJ Poll was conducted and analyzed by the Monmouth University Polling Institute research staff. The telephone interviews were collected by Braun Research from January 30 to February 1, 2008 with a statewide random sample of 1,273 likely primary voters. For results based on the total sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. The sample used for this survey involved a random digit dial sample of 701 likely primary voters plus an additional list-based sample of 572 likely primary voters who were drawn from voter records. Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups, such as separate figures reported by gender or party identification, are subject to more error than are statements based on the total sample. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.

555 Republicans; 4% MoE

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