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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
Poll Date: 2008-02-10
Number Polled: 385
Margin of Error: 5%
Voter Type: Likely

McCain leads Huckabee by 11

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) - 2008-02-11 @ 13:46:10

Question: If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?

Huckabee 37%
McCain 48%
Paul 7%
Other 6%
Undecided 2%

About this Poll
1,700 VA adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/09/08 and 02/10/08, exclusively for WJLA-TV Washington DC, WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WTVR-TV Richmond. In the middle of the field period for this survey, Mike Huckabee won the Louisiana primary, won the Kansas caucus, and finished a strong 2nd in the WA state caucus. Any momentum Huckabee accrued from those wins would only partially be reflected in these interviews, half of which were completed before the results of the Saturday wins were known. By contrast, interviews in the SurveyUSA poll released 72 hours ago, on Friday 02/08/08, were conducted during the post-Super-Tuesday media coverage that described McCain for the first-time as the "almost certain" party nominee. These competing, buffeting forces are at work: McCain supporters may feel he has the Republican nomination mathematically "locked," and may not be as motivated to turn-out as they would otherwise. Anti-McCain supporters may be uniquely motivated to vote in protest against McCain, and may turn-out in larger numbers than here forecast. Of the 1,700 adults interviews, 1,516 were registered to vote. Of them, 385 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Republican primary. The waters are choppy. The numbers reveal an ebb and flow in the Republican electorate. The data should be interpreted with caution. Margin of Sampling Error: ± 5.1%

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