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CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic50%piePoll Date: 2012-10-29
RRomneyRepublican44%Number Polled: 1,142
-Other-2%Margin of Error: 3%
-Undecided-4%Voter Type: Likely

Obama leads by six

 By: Lief (D-NY) on 2012-11-01 @ 00:11:05

Question:
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats; Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans; Other; or Undecided?

About this Poll
This survey of 1,464 adults was conducted on October 28th and October 29th, 2012. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Iowa were interviewed by telephone. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 census results for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results for adults are statistically significant within ±2.6 percentage points. There are 1,378 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.6 percentage points. Registered voters were balanced to reflect the difference in registration between Democrats and Republicans as reported by state election officials. There are 1,142 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model. This model determines the likelihood respondents will vote in the 2012 presidential election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.9 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

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