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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic48%piePoll Date: 2012-10-15
RRomneyRepublican45%Number Polled: 806
-Other-3%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-3%Voter Type: Likely

Obama by 3

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2012-10-17 @ 05:19:25

Question:
If the election for President were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Mitt Romney, the Republican? Barack Obama, the Democrat? Or one of the other candidates?

About this Poll
SurveyUSA interviewed 1,040 Nevada adults Oct. 11, 2012, through Oct. 15, 2012. All interviews were completed after the vice presidential debate on Oct. 11, 2012, after the U.S. Senate debate on Oct. 11, 2012, and before the presidential debate on Oct. 16, 2012. All respondents were given a choice to complete the interview in English or in Spanish. Of the adults interviewed, 889 were registered to vote in Nevada. Of the registered voters, 806 were judged by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Nov. 6, 2012, election. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Those questioned included 20 percent Hispanics, which is several points higher than the Latino turnout in the past two elections.

This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. All respondents heard the questions asked identically.

The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population.

In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors.

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