PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Election Polls - CA ResultsPolls
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Source: Field Research Corporation (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DObamaDemocratic48%piePoll Date: 2012-05-29
RRomneyRepublican32%Number Polled: 918
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-20%Voter Type: Likely

Obama up double-digits

 By: MilesC56 (D-VA) on 2012-06-01 @ 20:41:52

There will be a general election for president in November. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, Democrat and Mitt Romney, Republican, for whom would you vote?

About this Poll
The latest Field Poll survey was completed May 21– 29, 2012 among 918 registered voters in California. The survey included both a representative cross-section sample of 710 registered voters statewide plus an augmented sample of 206 Californians considered most likely to vote in the June primary election. The findings in this report are based on the statewide cross section sample of 710 registered voters.

Interviewing was conducted by telephone in English and Spanish using live interviewers working from Field Research Corporation’s central location telephone interviewing facilities. Up to six attempts were made to reach, screen and interview each randomly selected voter on different days and times of day during the interviewing period.

Interviewing was completed on either a voter’s landline phone or a cell phone depending on the source of the telephone listing from the voter file. In this survey 719 interviews were derived from landline sample listings and 199 from cell phone listings. After the completion of interviewing, both the overall registered voter sample and the likely voter sample were weighted to Field Poll estimates of the characteristics of the registered and likely voter populations in California.

Sampling error estimates applicable to the results of any probability-based survey depend on sample size as well as the percentage distribution being examined. The maximum sampling error estimates for results based on 710 registered voters is +/- 3.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The maximum sampling error is based on results in the middle of the sampling distribution (i.e., percentages at or near 50%). Percentages at either end of the distribution (those closer to 10% or 90%) have a smaller margin of error. There are other potential sources of error in surveys besides sampling error. However, the overall design and execution of the survey sought to minimize these other possible sources of error.

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