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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
Poll Date: 2012-01-08
Number Polled: 500
Margin of Error: 5%
Voter Type: Likely

Romney up by 11 over Gingrich, Santorum strong

 By: Ryne (I-WA) on 2012-01-09 @ 20:06:56


Poll Demographics

About this Poll
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. Using voter list sample from Aristotle, SurveyUSA interviewed 500 registered Florida Republicans who have voted in past primary elections and who identified themselves as being certain to vote in this primary. All interviews conducted 01/08/12, after the 01/07/12 ABC News debate and after the 01/08/12 NBC News debate, but before the 01/10/12 New Hampshire Primary. Interviews conducted 100% by telephone. Respondents who use a landline (home) telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents who do not use a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were contacted by live operators, who hand-dialed the telephone, secured the cooperation of the respondent, asked the questions, recorded the answers, and remained on the phone until the completion of the interview. In these results, Mitt Romney does equally well among home-phone and cell-phone respondents. Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum do materially worse among cell-phone respondents. Gingrich would trail Romney by 8 points, not 11 points, if cell-phone respondents had not been included. Florida should have 99 "winner take all" delegates at stake, but because Florida jumped the line and moved its primary earlier than had been recommended by the Republican National Committee, the state is penalized and will award 50 instead of 99 delegates. Unlike many other states in 2012, Florida's delegates are not apportioned among the candidates. 1,144 delegates are needed to win the nomination.

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