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Source: Selzer & Co (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RTrumpRepublican45%piePoll Date: 2016-10-24
DClintonDemocratic43%Number Polled: 953
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 3%
-Other-7%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-0%

Close Race for President in Florida

 By: leip (C-NY) on 2016-10-26 @ 08:04:59

Question:
(If definitely vote, ask:) If the general election were held today, and the candidates were [Hillary Clinton for the Democrats], [Donald Trump for the Republicans], [Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party], and [Jill Stein for the Green Party], for whom would you vote? (Rotate candidate names in brackets.)
(If already voted, ask:) In the election for president, for whom did you vote—[Hillary Clinton for the Democrats], [Donald Trump for the Republicans], [Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party], or [Jill Stein for the Green Party]? (Rotate candidate names in brackets.) (If already voted and not sure, ask:) Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?
(If definitely vote and not sure or would not vote, ask:) Toward which do you lean?
Clinton 43%
Trump 45%
Gary Johnson 4%
Jill Stein 2%
Other/would not vote 1%
Not Sure/don't remember 2%
Don't want to tell 4%

About this Poll
The Bloomberg Politics Florida Poll, conducted Oct. 21-24 by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, Iowa, is based on interviews with 953 Florida residents who are say they will definitely vote or have already voted in the 2016 general election. In order to look more closely at Hispanic voters, an oversample of 148 likely voters identified as Hispanic on the Florida registered voter list was conducted, leading to a total of 212 likely Hispanic voters.

Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted 1,143 Florida registered voters with landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Survey Sampling to reflect the registered voter population of Florida. Responses from the full probability sample were weighted by age, race, and the party recorded on the official registration form to reflect the full list of registered voters. Interviews were administered in English, and in Spanish when needed.

Percentages based on the sample of 953 Florida likely voters may have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points, and those based on the sample of 212 Hispanic likely voters may have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 6.7 percentage points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the percentages shown here by more than plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for the sample and plus or minus 6.7 percentage points for Hispanic likely voters. Results based on smaller samples of respondents—such as by gender or age—have a larger margin of error.

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