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Source: Siena Research Institute (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DClintonDemocratic41%piePoll Date: 2016-09-19
RTrumpRepublican41%Number Polled: 782
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Other-11%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-8%

Contest Tied in North Carolina

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2016-09-22 @ 09:30:06

Question:
If the election was today, who would you vote for?
Clinton 41%
Trump 41%
Johnson 11%
Dk/Other 8%

About this Poll
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College survey was conducted September 16-19, 2016 by telephone calls to 782 likely voters. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on both their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior applied to their specific voting history. This probability to vote was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party registration, age, region, gender and race. This poll has a margin of error of + 3.6 percentage points.

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