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Source: Franklin and Marshall College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
Poll Date: 2016-03-20
Number Polled: 408
Margin of Error: 5%
Voter Type: Registered

Clinton with Substantial Lead in Pennsylvania

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2016-03-24 @ 09:49:18

If the Democratic primary election for president was being held today would you vote for…?

About this Poll
The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted March 14 - 20, 2016. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College on behalf of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs. The poll was designed and administered by the staff of the Center for Opinion Research. The data included in this release represent the responses of 828 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 408 Democrats, 312 Republicans, and 108 Independents. The sample of registered voters was obtained from Labels & Lists. All sampled respondents were notified by letter about the survey. Interviews were completed over the phone and on-line depending on each respondent’s preference. Survey results were weighted (gender, region and party registration) using an iterative weighting algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics as reported by the Pennsylvania Department of State.

The sample error for this survey is +/- 3.3 percentage points when the design effects from weighting are considered. The sampling error is +/- 4.7 percentage points for the sample of Democrats and is +/- 5.4 percentage points for the sample of Republicans. In addition to sampling error, this poll is also subject to other sources of non-sampling error. Generally speaking, two sources of error concern researchers most. Non-response bias is created when selected participants either choose not to participate in the survey or are unavailable for interviewing. Response errors are the product of the question and answer process. Surveys that rely on self-reported behaviors and attitudes are susceptible to biases related to the way respondents process and respond to survey questions

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