PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Republican Primary - CA ResultsPolls
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Source: Public Policy Institute of CA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
TrumpRepublican38%pie
Poll Date: 2016-03-15
Number Polled: 321
Margin of Error: 6%
Voter Type: Likely
CruzRepublican27%
KasichRepublican14%
OtherRepublican12%
-UndecidedRepublican9%

Trump Leads in California

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2016-03-24 @ 11:41:52

Question:
If the 2016 Republican primary for president were being held today, and these were the
candidates, who would you vote for?

About this Poll
Findings in this report are based on a survey of 1,710 California adult residents, including 852 interviewed on landline telephones and 858 interviewed on cell phones. Interviews took an average of 20 minutes to complete. Interviewing took place on weekend days and weekday nights from March 6–15, 2016.

The sampling error, taking design effects from weighting into consideration, is ±3.6 percent at the 95 percent confidence level for the total unweighted sample of 1,710 adults. This means that 95 times out of 100, the results will be within 3.6 percentage points of what they would be if all adults in California were interviewed. The sampling error for unweighted subgroups is larger: for the 1,385 registered voters, the sampling error is ±3.9 percent; for the 1,039 likely voters, it is ±4.4 percent; for the 529 Democratic Primary likely voters, it is ±6.2 percent; for the 321 Republican Primary likely voters, it is ±7.3 percent. Sampling error is only one type of error to which surveys are subject. Results may also be affected by factors such as question wording, question order, and survey timing.

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