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PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Republican Primary Polls - IA ResultsPolls
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Iowa Polls (Aggregate = Lean Trump for 3-poll average)

Candidate Avg. #Wins Delegates Poll Graph Election Details
Trump 31% 3 0pie
Election Date: 2016-02-01
Election Type: Caucus
Eligable Voters: Closed
Delegates Total: 30
Delegates Awarded: 0
Apportion Method:
Cruz 25% 0 0
Rubio 18% 0 0
Carson 6% 0 0
Other 18% 0 0
-Undecided 2% 0 0

 Three-Poll Rolling Average
 Rolling Average Poll Graph

 Delegates Awarded Prior to this Contest: 0 (0.0%)

DatePoll SourceLeadKB R C T C W OthUnd MOE Sample#C
01-31Emerson CollegeT+14%4%22%26%27%3%0%13%1%6%298 L27
01-31Quinnipiac UniversityT+72%4%17%24%31%8%0%11%3%3%890 L11
01-30Overtime PoliticsT+93%5%14%25%34%7%0%9%3%5%416 L
01-30Insider AdvantageT+14%5%19%19%20%9%0%22%2%3%887 L
01-29Selzer & CoT+52%2%15%23%28%10%0%18%2%4%602 L106
01-27Gravis MarketingT+44%6%13%27%31%7%0%11%1%4%724 L
01-27Public Policy PollingT+82%4%14%23%31%9%0%15%2%4%780 L21
01-26Monmouth UniversityT+73%4%16%23%30%10%0%11%3%4%500 L9
01-26Marist CollegeT+72%4%18%25%32%8%0%8%3%5%450 L26
01-24Quinnipiac UniversityT+21%4%13%29%31%7%0%13%2%4%651 L12
01-24ARGT+73%3%11%26%33%7%0%12%5%5%400 L16
01-21YouGovT+51%1%13%34%39%5%0%7%0%7%1,247 L70
01-21Fox NewsT+112%4%12%23%34%7%0%16%2%5%378 L51
01-20CNN/ORCT+111%3%14%26%37%6%0%9%4%6%266 L64
01-19Other SourceC+23%7%9%27%25%11%0%14%4%4%687 L18
01-18Loras CollegeT+14%6%13%25%26%8%0%11%7%4%500 L4
01-18Emerson CollegeT+103%5%14%23%33%9%0%12%1%6%271 L15
01-12Gravis MarketingT+64%4%5%28%34%9%0%13%3%5%422 L13
01-10Public Policy PollingT+23%6%13%26%28%8%0%14%2%4%530 L8
01-10Selzer & CoC+32%4%12%25%22%11%0%13%11%4%500 L33
01-10Quinnipiac UniversityT+22%3%15%29%31%7%0%11%2%4%602 L8
01-10ARGT+43%3%10%25%29%6%0%19%5%5%400 L17
01-08Mason-DixonC+73%5%12%31%24%6%0%13%6%5%504 L15
01-07Fox NewsC+41%7%15%27%23%9%0%16%2%4%504 L12
01-07Marist CollegeC+42%4%13%28%24%11%0%15%3%5%456 L27
12-21Gravis MarketingTie2%4%9%31%31%7%0%11%5%5%440 L26
12-17YouGovC+91%2%12%40%31%6%0%8%0%5%1,252 L39
12-13Public Policy PollingT+32%7%14%25%28%10%0%13%1%4%522 L20
12-13Quinnipiac UniversityT+11%5%14%27%28%10%0%12%3%3%874 L8
12-12Overtime PoliticsT+51%5%13%26%31%8%0%12%4%5%489 L
12-10Loras CollegeC+71%6%11%30%23%11%0%9%9%4%499 L15
12-10Selzer & CoC+102%6%10%31%21%13%0%10%7%5%400 L46
12-10Fox NewsC+21%5%13%28%26%10%0%11%6%5%450 L9
12-06CNN/ORCT+131%4%11%20%33%16%0%12%3%4%552 L24
12-06Monmouth UniversityC+53%6%17%24%19%13%0%13%5%5%425 L30
11-22Quinnipiac UniversityT+21%4%13%23%25%18%0%14%2%4%600 L33
11-19YouGovT+91%5%11%21%30%19%0%13%0%4%658 L
11-16Other SourceT+121%9%12%9%29%17%0%15%8%6%239 L
11-04CNN/ORCT+22%5%13%11%25%23%0%18%3%4%548 L15
11-01Public Policy PollingT+12%5%10%14%22%21%0%25%1%4%638 L15
10-31Gravis MarketingT+73%6%18%9%29%22%0%12%1%6%356 L
10-31Monmouth UniversityC+82%9%10%15%20%28%0%12%4%4%874 L
10-25Monmouth UniversityC+142%8%10%10%18%32%0%14%6%5%400 L10
10-22Loras CollegeC+121%7%10%6%19%31%0%13%13%4%500 L16
10-22YouGovTie2%6%9%12%27%27%0%14%3%4%529 L
10-20Quinnipiac UniversityC+83%5%13%10%20%28%0%18%3%4%574 L38
10-19Selzer & CoC+92%5%9%10%19%28%0%20%7%5%401 L18
09-30Gravis MarketingT+53%7%9%11%19%14%0%19%18%5%454 L
09-30Marist CollegeT+53%7%6%6%24%19%0%28%7%5%431 L
09-20Public Policy PollingT+72%6%8%8%24%17%5%29%1%4%488 L
09-10YouGovT+42%3%6%10%29%25%5%16%4%4%568 L39
09-08Quinnipiac UniversityT+65%6%5%9%27%21%3%20%4%3%1,038 L7
09-02Marist CollegeT+72%6%4%4%29%22%5%20%8%5%390 L14
08-31Gravis MarketingT+161%4%6%7%32%16%6%17%11%4%507 L7
08-30Monmouth UniversityTie4%5%4%9%23%23%7%20%5%5%405 L21
08-27Loras CollegeT+73%10%4%7%25%18%6%20%7%4%502 L17
08-26Selzer & CoT+52%6%6%8%23%18%8%19%10%5%400 L35
08-11CNN/ORCT+82%5%5%8%22%14%9%29%6%3%1,258 L12
08-10Suffolk UniversityT+53%5%10%7%17%9%12%16%21%4%500 L25
07-29Gravis MarketingT+165%10%3%6%31%5%15%25%0%7%227 L10
07-21Marist CollegeW+22%12%4%4%17%8%19%20%14%5%342 L7
07-19Monmouth UniversityW+92%7%5%7%13%8%22%25%11%5%452 L17
06-29We Ask AmericaW+61%12%9%8%7%5%18%38%2%3%1,000 L
06-10Insider AdvantageW+62%11%9%6%2%13%19%32%6%3%1,235 L
05-29Selzer & CoW+72%9%6%5%4%10%17%40%7%5%402 L
04-13Gravis MarketingB+30%16%12%6%0%9%13%27%17%5%388 L7
02-13Gravis MarketingW+140%10%7%4%0%5%24%35%15%4%343 L


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