Predictions2020 Presidential Election Polls Polls
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Biden - Trump
Election 2020 State Polls Aggregate
Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

2020 Presidential Polls Mapkey

270 |
538 |
Biden315 
 
pie
Trump132 
 
Ind
 
Tos91 
 

State Pick-ups


Gain Loss Hold Toss
ST EV ST EV ST EV ST EV
Biden+5+86002022914
Trump00-5-8621132487
Ind00000000

Polls Aggregate History

polls_graph

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Ind Cand Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
GAR +147%46%0%4%1200R - ITossup
NHD +144%46%0%8%1200D - ITossup
NCD +244%46%0%4%2100R - ITossup
OHR +248%45%0%7%1200R - ITossup
TXR +245%44%0%9%1101R - ITossup
FLD +346%49%0%4%3000R - ISlight Democratic
WID +443%46%0%8%3000R - ISlight Democratic
IAR +548%44%0%8%0300R - ILean Republican
MID +545%50%0%5%3000R - ILean Democratic

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Ind Cand Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
FLD +346%49%0%4%3000R - ISlight Democratic
WID +443%46%0%8%3000R - ISlight Democratic
MID +545%50%0%5%3000R - ILean Democratic
AZD +644%50%0%6%3000R - ILean Democratic
PAD +743%50%0%6%3000R - ILean Democratic

Most Recent State Polls

State Date Poll Source Spread DT Dem Ind Other Und MOE Sample #C
FL 05-27 St.PetePollsD +147%48%0%3%3%1% 4,763 L 29
MD 05-23 Gonzales ResearchD +2435%59%0%0%6%4% 810 L 15
WA 05-20 Public Policy PollingD +2237%59%0%0%5%3% 1,070 L 31
MN 05-20 Mason-DixonD +544%49%0%0%7%3% 800 R 67
WA 05-19 Survey USAD +2631%57%0%5%7%4% 530 L 9
UT 05-19 Y2 AnalyticsR +344%41%0%9%5%3% 1,078 L 42
MI 05-19 Public Policy PollingD +645%51%0%0%5%3% 1,234 L 14
CA 05-19 Survey USAD +2830%58%0%5%7%5% 537 L 21
GA 05-18 CiviqsD +147%48%0%3%2%3% 1,339 L 34
VA 05-17 Roanoke CollegeD +1239%51%0%0%10%4% 563 L 17
MI 05-17 Change ResearchD +346%49%0%0%5%2% 3,070 L 38
FL 05-17 Other SourceD +144%45%0%4%8%4% 2,149 L 17
KY 05-15 Public Policy PollingR +1655%39%0%5%2%3% 1,104 L 21
FL 05-12 Florida Atlantic UniversityD +647%53%0%0%0%3% 928 L 49
AZ 05-11 OH Predictive InsightsD +743%50%0%0%7%4% 600 L 28
TX 05-10 Emerson CollegeR +647%41%0%0%12%3% 800 L 49
OH 05-10 Emerson CollegeR +346%43%0%0%11%4% 725 L 49
CA 05-10 Emerson CollegeD +3029%59%0%0%12%3% 800 L 49
NC 05-09 Other SourceR +346%43%0%7%4%3% 1,111 L 17
WI 05-07 Marquette Law SchoolD +343%46%0%4%4%4% 811 L 34
MA 05-06 Emerson CollegeD +3030%60%0%0%9%4% 740 R 7
NC 05-04 CiviqsD +346%49%0%4%2%3% 1,362 R 26
NY 05-04 Quinnipiac UniversityD +2332%55%0%3%10%3% 915 R 24
NJ 05-04 Quinnipiac UniversityD +1935%54%0%2%9%3% 915 R 24
CT 05-04 Quinnipiac UniversityD +2333%56%0%2%9%3% 915 R 24
CO 05-03 KOMD +1936%55%0%3%6%4% 600 L 25
TN 05-01 Other SourceR +1753%36%0%0%11%5% 536 L 17
MA 05-01 UMass LowellD +2830%58%0%7%4%4% 1,000 R 10
IA 05-01 Public Policy PollingR +248%46%0%0%6%4% 1,222 L 34
NV 04-30 Anzalone Liszt GroveD +445%49%0%0%6%4% 763 L 24
TX 04-28 Public Policy PollingD +146%47%0%0%7%4% 1,032 L 75
NC 04-28 Other SourceD +740%47%0%5%7%4% 604 L 12
TX 04-27 University of TexasTie43%43%0%5%9%3% 1,183 L 41
NH 04-27 St. Anselm CollegeD +842%50%0%7%1%3% 820 R 11
MT 04-27 Montana State UniversityR +545%40%0%10%5%4% 459 L 8
GA 04-27 CygnalR +145%44%0%6%5%4% 591 L 38
PA 04-26 Harper PollingD +643%49%0%0%8%4% 644 L 17
NC 04-26 Survey USAD +545%50%0%0%5%6% 580 L 9
NY 04-23 Siena Research InstituteD +3629%65%0%0%6%4% 803 R 27
WI 04-21 Public Policy PollingD +545%50%0%0%4%3% 1,415 L 27
UT 04-21 Other SourceR +1951%32%0%8%9%3% 964 L 4
PA 04-21 Public Policy PollingD +744%51%0%0%5%3% 1,251 R 27
PA 04-21 Fox NewsD +842%50%0%2%6%4% 803 R 49
NC 04-21 Public Policy PollingD +346%49%0%0%5%3% 1,275 R 27
NM 04-21 Public Policy PollingD +1240%52%0%0%8%3% 1,009 L 18
MI 04-21 Public Policy PollingD +744%51%0%0%5%3% 1,277 L 27
MI 04-21 Fox NewsD +841%49%0%3%7%4% 801 R 49
FL 04-21 Fox NewsD +343%46%0%3%7%3% 1,004 R 36
WI 04-20 Other SourceD +340%43%0%0%17%5% 645 R 26
PA 04-20 Susquehanna Polling & ResearchD +642%48%0%1%8%4% 693 L 24
PA 04-20 Other SourceD +640%46%0%0%14%5% 578 R 26
MI 04-20 Other SourceD +838%46%0%0%16%5% 612 R 26
FL 04-20 Quinnipiac UniversityD +442%46%0%3%9%3% 1,385 R 42
TX 04-19 University of TexasR +549%44%0%0%7%3% 1,200 R
CO 04-19 Montana State UniversityD +1835%53%0%3%8%5% 380 L 31
FL 04-17 St.PetePollsTie48%48%0%0%4%1% 5,659 R 34
NJ 04-16 Monmouth UniversityD +1638%54%0%0%8%4% 635 R 16
NC 04-15 Public Policy PollingD +147%48%0%0%5%3% 1,318 L 40
IN 04-13 Change ResearchR +1352%39%0%5%3%3% 1,021 L 23
VA 04-08 Virginia Commonwealth UniversityD +1041%51%0%0%8%6% 663 L 28

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