PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Election Polls Polls
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Biden - Trump
Election 2020 State Polls Aggregate
Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

2020 Presidential Polls Mapkey

270 |
538 |
Biden334 
 
pie
Trump132 
 
Ind
 
Tos72 
 

State Pick-ups


Gain Loss Hold Toss
ST EV ST EV ST EV ST EV
Biden+6+101002123300
Trump00-6-10121132372
Ind00000000

Polls Aggregate History

polls_graph

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Ind Cand Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
GATie47%47%0%6%2100R - ITossup
OHR +148%46%2%4%1200R - ITossup
TXR +147%46%1%6%0201R - ITossup
IAR +246%44%1%7%0300R - ISlight Republican
AKR +349%46%0%5%0300R - ISlight Republican
FLD +344%47%2%5%3000R - ISlight Democratic
NCD +344%47%3%5%3000R - ISlight Democratic
NVD +442%46%0%9%3000D - ISlight Democratic
PAD +545%50%0%4%3000R - ILean Democratic
SCR +549%44%1%5%0300R - ILean Republican

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State Spread Trump Biden Ind Cand Und WinD WinR WinI Ties Inc Status
FLD +344%47%2%5%3000R - ISlight Democratic
NCD +344%47%3%5%3000R - ISlight Democratic
PAD +545%50%0%4%3000R - ILean Democratic
AZD +641%47%3%6%3000R - ILean Democratic
MID +942%50%2%6%3000R - ILean Democratic
WID +943%51%1%5%3000R - ILean Democratic

Most Recent State Polls

State Date Poll Source Spread DT Dem Ind Other Und MOE Sample #C
WI 09-15 CiviqsD +744%51%0%0%5%4% 704 R 32
PA 09-15 CiviqsD +745%52%0%0%3%5% 559 L 32
OH 09-15 CiviqsR +348%45%2%0%5%5% 556 L 32
NC 09-15 Siena Research InstituteD +144%45%1%0%8%4% 653 L 27
MI 09-15 CiviqsD +1142%53%2%0%3%5% 517 R 32
MI 09-15 EPIC/MRAD +840%48%5%0%7%4% 600 L 17
ME 09-15 Siena Research InstituteD +1738%55%1%0%6%4% 663 L 27
AZ 09-15 Monmouth UniversityD +444%48%4%0%4%5% 420 R 46
AZ 09-15 Siena Research InstituteD +940%49%4%1%6%4% 653 L 27
WI 09-14 Morning ConsultD +942%51%0%0%7%4% 797 L 41
SC 09-14 Quinnipiac UniversityR +651%45%0%0%4%3% 969 L 56
NC 09-14 Suffolk UniversityD +443%47%5%0%5%5% 500 L 11
ME 09-14 Quinnipiac UniversityD +2138%59%0%0%3%3% 1,183 L 56
KY 09-14 Quinnipiac UniversityR +2058%38%0%1%3%3% 1,164 L 56
WI 09-13 CNN/SSRSD +1042%52%3%1%2%3% 816 L 63
WI 09-13 Washington PostD +646%52%0%0%2%4% 605 L 82
NC 09-13 CNN/SSRSD +346%49%3%0%2%4% 787 L 63
NC 09-13 Other SourceD +243%45%0%0%11%3% 1,172 R 8
NC 09-13 Survey USATie47%47%0%2%5%6% 596 L 22
MN 09-13 Morning ConsultD +444%48%2%0%6%4% 643 L 17
MN 09-13 Washington PostD +1641%57%0%0%2%4% 615 L 82
FL 09-13 Other SourceD +142%43%0%0%11%3% 1,009 R 8
FL 09-13 Monmouth UniversityD +545%50%2%0%3%5% 428 L 59
CA 09-13 Public Policy Institute of CAD +2931%60%0%5%2%4% 1,168 L 17
AZ 09-13 Other SourceD +540%45%0%0%9%3% 1,298 R 8
UT 09-12 Hinckley InstituteR +1853%35%5%1%6%3% 1,000 L 19
FL 09-12 Florida Atlantic UniversityD +346%49%3%0%2%5% 631 R 26
NC 09-11 Trafalgar GroupR +248%46%0%4%3%3% 1,046 L 27
MN 09-11 YouGovD +941%50%0%2%6%4% 1,087 L 21
AZ 09-11 Gravis MarketingD +248%50%0%0%2%4% 684 L 11
AZ 09-11 YouGovD +344%47%0%3%6%4% 1,106 L 21
WI 09-10 Siena Research InstituteD +543%48%0%3%6%5% 760 L 86
NH 09-10 Siena Research InstituteD +342%45%0%5%7%6% 445 L 86
NV 09-10 Siena Research InstituteD +442%46%0%4%7%5% 462 L 86
MN 09-10 Siena Research InstituteD +941%50%0%3%5%4% 814 L 86
AZ 09-10 OH Predictive InsightsD +1042%52%0%0%6%4% 600 L 46
WI 09-08 Benenson Strategy GroupD +545%50%0%0%5%4% 1,200 L 10
WI 09-08 Emerson CollegeD +744%51%0%3%2%3% 823 L 22
PA 09-08 Benenson Strategy GroupD +346%49%0%0%5%4% 1,600 L 10
OR 09-08 DHM Research/OPBD +1239%51%0%6%4%4% 502 L 45
OK 09-08 SoonerPollR +2560%35%0%0%5%4% 486 L 4
NC 09-08 Benenson Strategy GroupTie48%48%0%0%4%4% 1,600 L 10
MT 09-08 Other SourceR +750%43%0%0%7%3% 1,637 L 19
MI 09-08 Benenson Strategy GroupD +743%50%0%0%7%4% 1,600 L 10
ME 09-08 Other SourceD +1440%54%0%0%6%3% 1,886 L 19
IA 09-08 Other SourceR +247%45%0%0%7%4% 1,600 L 19
GA 09-08 Other SourceD +146%47%0%0%7%4% 1,558 L 19
FL 09-08 Benenson Strategy GroupD +246%48%0%0%6%4% 1,600 L 10
FL 09-08 St.PetePollsD +347%50%1%0%2%2% 2,689 L 20
CO 09-08 Other SourceD +1040%50%0%0%10%4% 1,549 L 19
AZ 09-08 Benenson Strategy GroupD +147%48%0%0%4%4% 1,600 L 10
WI 09-07 Morning ConsultD +843%51%0%0%6%3% 791 L 20
VA 09-07 Virginia Commonwealth UniversityD +1439%53%0%0%8%5% 804 L 48
TX 09-07 Morning ConsultTie46%46%0%0%8%2% 2,829 L 20
PA 09-07 Morning ConsultD +545%50%0%0%5%2% 2,227 L 20
PA 09-07 Marist CollegeD +944%53%1%0%2%4% 771 L 53
OH 09-07 Morning ConsultR +550%45%0%0%5%3% 1,963 L 20
NC 09-07 Morning ConsultD +147%48%0%0%5%3% 1,592 L 20
NJ 09-07 Emerson CollegeD +1738%55%1%0%7%4% 500 L 10
MN 09-07 Morning ConsultD +544%49%0%0%7%4% 649 L 20

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