PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Election Polls - GA ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DBidenDemocratic48%piePoll Date: 2020-10-12
RTrumpRepublican46%Number Polled: 677
IInd CandIndependent2%Margin of Error: 6%
-Other-0%Voter Type: Likely

Biden +2

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2020-10-14 @ 07:56:24


About this Poll

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults statewide 10/08/2020 through 10/12/2020. Of the adults, 793 are registered to vote in Georgia. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 677 voters likely to return a ballot on or before the 11/03/2020 deadline. This research was conducted online among a representative cross section of Georgia adults. Sample selected at random by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Adult respondents were weighted to the most recent US Census targets for Georgia for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership.

In 2016, Democrat Hillary Clinton carried GA by 5 percentage points. In 2014, Perdue defeated Democrat Michelle Nunn by 8 points. In 2019, Republican Governor Brian Kemp appointed Loeffler to fill the seat, effective 2020, vacated by Republican Johnny Isakson, who resigned for health reasons; In November 2020, multiple overlapping forces are at work to limit the predictive value of public opinion polls. The manner, timing, and way in which many voters will mark a ballot in 2020 will differ from previous elections because of the Coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic. Whether this makes turnout higher than anticipated, lower than anticipated or just different from past elections is unknowable. Whether there will be systemic voter fraud, as the President fears, or isolated and insignificant fraud, is unknowable. What may be newly revealed in the remaining 3 weeks of the campaign is unknowable. Whether there will be no transition of power, a smooth transition of power, or a period of civil unrest is unknowable. As such, this research provides rich insight into the state of play in Georgia at this hour, but may or may not correlate to what "will be" in 3 weeks.

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