Question:
If the election for President was held today, would you vote for:

About this Poll
Presidential Election Matchups
With Election Day over six months away, the presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads
President Trump 47.4 to 40.4 percent. Six months ago—the last time the Meredith Poll matched
up the two candidates—Trump and Biden were essentially tied. The president’s recent problems
managing the government’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the related economic
issues has led to Trump falling behind Biden in the most recent survey.
Biden runs very strongly with minority voters, those in urban areas, and young voters—no real
surprise, since they have made up the Democratic base for many election cycles. In addition, he
polls well against the president with both men and women. In 2016 Trump won a large majority
of men in the state and without a similar response by men in 2020, Trump’s election chances in
the state are weak.
Trump, however, does well among affluent and older voters in the state. He has surprising
strength in suburban counties (48.4% Trump v. 39.9% Biden), an area that has become the
battleground in North Carolina in recent elections.
In 2016, Trump trailed Hillary Clinton at this point in the race. Although the electoral conditions
are much different from in 2016, given Donald Trump’s incumbency status and huge fundraising
advantage over Biden, the expectation is that North Carolina will again have a very competitive
presidential race in 2020.