PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Election Polls - NC ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DBidenDemocratic50%piePoll Date: 2020-10-11
RTrumpRepublican45%Number Polled: 669
IInd CandIndependent2%Margin of Error: 5%
-Other-0%Voter Type: Likely

Biden +5

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2020-10-14 @ 05:01:25


About this Poll

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults statewide 10/08/2020 through 10/11/2020. Of the adults, 746 are registered to vote in North Carolina. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 669 voters likely to return a ballot on or before the 11/03/2020 deadline. This research was conducted online among a representative cross section of North Carolina adults. Sample selected at random by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Adult respondents were weighted to the most recent US Census targets for North Carolina for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership. In 2016, Trump carried North Carolina by 3.6 percentage points. In 2020, multiple overlapping forces are at work to limit the predictive value of public opinion polls. The manner, timing, and way in which many voters will mark a ballot in 2020 will differ from previous elections because of the Coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic. Whether this makes turnout higher than anticipated, lower than anticipated or just different from past elections is unknowable. Whether there will be systemic voter fraud, as the President fears, or isolated and insignificant fraud, is unknowable. What is newly revealed in the remaining 3 weeks of the campaign, related to the President's health or to his income taxes, is unknowable. Whether there will be no transition of power, a smooth transition of power, or a period of civil unrest is unknowable. As such, this research provides rich and remarkable insight into the state of play in North Carolina at this hour, but may or may not correlate to what "will be" in 3 weeks. Interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, are available at the report below any place you see the 'Triangle T' logo. Click on the T, then, in the window that opens, use the pull-down menu to toggle between every sub-population that comprises North Carolina.

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