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Source: Research 2000 (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DMcCaskillDemocratic47%piePoll Date: 2006-10-26
RTalent*Republican47%Number Polled: 800
PLydiaProgressive2%Margin of Error: 3%
-Undecided-4%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

McCaskill (D) and Talent (R) deadlocked

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) - 2006-10-29 @ 02:47:32

Question: If the election for Missouri's U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for, Clair McCaskill, the Democrat, Jim Talent, the Republican, Frank Gilmour, the Libertarian party candidate, or Lydia Lewis the Green Party candidate?

McCaskill-D: 47%
Talent-R: 47%
Gilmour-L: 2%
Undecided: 4%

Poll Demographics
Men 390 -49%
Women 410 -51%

Democrats 296 -37%
Republicans 294 -37%
Independents 210 -26%

White 688 -86%
Black 95 -12%
Other 17 -2%

18-29 119 -15%
30-44 281 -35%
45-59 256 -32%
60+ 144 -18%

Union 199 -25%
Non-Union 601 -75%

ST. LOUIS CITY 60 interviews
St. Louis Suburbs 254 interviews
KANSAS CITY 159 interviews
North/Southeast 175 interviews
SOUTHWEST 152 interviews

About this Poll
The Research 2000 Missouri Poll was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD from October 23 through October 26, 2006. A total of 800 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 3.5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or region.

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