PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Election Polls - NJ ResultsPolls
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Source: Gallup (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DMenendez*Democratic46%piePoll Date: 2006-10-01
RKeanRepublican43%Number Polled: 542
-Other-3%Margin of Error: 5%
-Undecided-9%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Incumbent Menendez (D) holds slim lead on Kean, Jr. (R)

 By: Miamiu1027 (D-NY) - 2006-10-05 @ 23:46:17

Question: If the elections for Senator were being held today, which candidate would you vote for, Democrat Bob Menendez, Republican Tom Kean, Jr. or another candidate?

890 Registered Voters

Robert Menendez (D) 39%
Thomas Kean, Jr. (R) 34%

542 Likely Voters

Robert Menendez (D) 46%
Thomas Kean, Jr. (R) 43%
Other 3%
No Opinion 9%

About this Poll Results are based on telephone interviews with 890 Registered voters in New Jersey, aged 18+, conducted September 27-October 1, 2006. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points.

Results for likely voters in New Jersey are based on the subsample of 542 survey respondents deemed most likely to vote in the November 2006 Midterm Election, according to a series of questions measuring current voting intentions and past voting behavior. For results based on the total sample of likely voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is +/-5 percentage points. Based on past voting history in New Jersey, turnout is assumed to be 35% of the voting age population.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

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