16 weeks to the election, incumbent Republican US Senator Elizabeth Dole defeats Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan by 12 points, according to this latest SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Today, it's Dole 54%, Hagan 42%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, Dole is up 4 points; Hagan is down 4 points. Dole has gained ground among both men and women and among voters age 50+. Among voters with annual household incomes under $50,000, Hagan had led by 14; today, Dole and Hagan tie. Among voters with incomes greater than $50,000, Dole had led by 14, now leads by 19. One in four Democrats today cross-over to vote for Dole, who is running for her second term. Hagan is serving her fifth term in the North Carolina State Senate.