PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Election Polls - CA ResultsPolls
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Source: Survey USA (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DBarbara L. Boxer*Democratic46%piePoll Date: 2010-10-31
RCarly S. FiorinaRepublican38%Number Polled: 587
-Other-6%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-10%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Boxer (D) by 8 in final poll

 By: Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT) on 2010-11-02 @ 01:34:33


Poll Demographics

About this Poll

Filtering: Using both RDD landline and cellphone sample from Survey Sampling, SurveyUSA interviewed 850 California adults 10/26/10 through 10/31/10. Cellphones, as always, were hand-dialed. Of the adults, 692 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 587 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. Early voting began 10/04/10. "CPO" = Cell Phone Only, respondents who do not have a home phone and who make and receive phone calls with a cell phone. "Both" = respondents who have both a cell phone and a home phone but for this survey were interviewed on their cell phone by a live operator who dialed the call by hand. "Home Phone" = respondents who were interviewed on their home phone with the recorded-voice of a professional announcer. 40% of the likely voters interviewed for this survey were contacted and interviewed entirely by live operator, 60% of likely voters were contacted and interviewed using recorded voice. CPO respondents account for 19% of likely voters. CPO voters are the least predictable to pollsters. If CPO voters turn-out in smaller numbers than here shown, Democrats and "Yes" will under-perform these numbers, Republicans and "No" will out-perform these numbers.

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