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Source: Fairleigh Dickinson University (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DRobert Menendez*Democratic43%piePoll Date: 2012-03-11
RJoseph KyrillosRepublican33%Number Polled: 396
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 5%
-Undecided-23%Voter Type: Registered

  * = Incumbent

Menendez Leads Kyrillos by 10%

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) on 2012-03-20 @ 13:54:06

In November, there will be an election for US Senate. I know it’s early, but if the election were today would you vote for…or…? [IF “don’t know,” ASK “which way do you lean?”]

N=396 All Dem ind Rep Jan. 2012 Sept. 2011
Robert Menendez, the Democrat 43% 78 28 11 43% 49%
Joe Kyrillos, the Republican 33% 2 30 72 31% 28%
unsure/neither/other 23% 20 42 17 26% 22%

Robert Menendez, the incumbent
Someone else
unsure/neither/other (vol.)

Poll Demographics

About this Poll
The most recent survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind was conducted by telephone from Mar. 5, 2012, through Mar. 11, 2012, using a randomly selected sample of 800 registered voters statewide. The margin of error for a sample of 800 randomly selected respondents is +/- 3.5 percentage points. The margin of error for 400 is +/- 5 points. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling error. This kind of error, which cannot be measured, arises from a number of factors including, but not limited to, non-response (eligible individuals refusing to be interviewed), question wording, the order in which questions are asked, and variations among interviewers. PublicMind interviews are conducted by Opinion America of Cedar Knolls, NJ, with professionally trained interviewers using a CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) system. Random selection is achieved by computerized random-digit dialing. This technique gives every person with a land-line phone number (including those with unlisted numbers) an equal chance of being selected. Landline households are supplemented with a separate, randomly selected sample of cell-phone-only-households, interviewed in the same time frame. The total combined sample is mathematically weighted to match known demographics of age, race and gender.

The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll of 800 registered voters statewide was conducted by telephone using both landlines and cell phones from Mar. 5 through Mar. 11, 2012, and has a margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points. At random, half of respondents were asked their preference between Menendez and Kyrillos, and half between Menendez and “someone else.”

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