PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Election Polls - NY ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Source: Marist College (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DKirsten Gillibrand*Democratic68%piePoll Date: 2012-10-21
RWendy LongRepublican24%Number Polled: 565
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-8%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Gillibrand with Substantial Lead in New York

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2012-10-24 @ 22:13:09


About this Poll
This survey of 1,031 adults was conducted on October 18th through October 21st, 2012. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of New York were interviewed by telephone. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 census results for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results for adults are statistically significant within ±3.1 percentage points. There are 874 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.3 percentage points. Registered voters were balanced to reflect the difference in registration in New York City, the suburbs, and upstate New York as reported by state election officials. There are 565 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model. This model determines the likelihood respondents will vote in the 2012 presidential election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.1 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

View All New York Polls

Login to Post Comments

Forum Thread for this Poll

Back to 2012 Senatorial Polls Home - Polls Home

Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved