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Source: Fox News (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RTom CottonRepublican46%piePoll Date: 2014-10-07
DMark Pryor*Democratic39%Number Polled: 707
-Other-5%Margin of Error: 4%
-Undecided-11%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Cotton with Slight Lead in Arkansas

 By: leip (--NY) on 2014-10-09 @ 05:01:55

Question:
If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were: [IF NOT SURE, ASK] Well, which way are you leaning? [RANDOMIZE 1-4] 1. Democrat Mark Pryor 2. Republican Tom Cotton 3. Libertarian Nathan LaFrance 4. Green Party candidate Mark Swaney 5. (Other) 6. (Wouldn’t vote) 7. (Don’t know / Refused)
Pryor 39%
Cotton 46%
LaFrance 2%
Swaney 2%
(Other) 1%
(Wouldn’t vote) 1%
(Don’t know) 10%

About this Poll
N= 707 Arkansas likely voters (492 landline, 215 cell phone)
Interviews Conducted: October 4-7, 2014

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers with a random sample of Arkansas likely voters.

Landline and cell phone numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file of registered Arkansas voters using a probability proportionate to size method. This simply means that phone numbers are proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions across
the state.

Voters who were registered prior to 2013 yet had not voted in at least one of the last four statewide general elections were excluded from the sample. Respondents who indicated they were unlikely to vote in November were also excluded.

Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3.5 percentage points.

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