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Source: University of New Hampshire (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RKelly Ayotte*Republican47%piePoll Date: 2015-07-20
DMaggie HassanDemocratic41%Number Polled: 468
-Other-1%Margin of Error: 5%
-Undecided-12%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

Ayotte Leading in New Hampshire

 By: leip (C-NY) on 2015-07-27 @ 16:43:11

Question:
If the 2016 Senate election was being held today and the candidates were Kelly Ayotte the Republican and Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

About this Poll
These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and thirty-two (532) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between July 7 and July 20, 2015. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.2 percent. Included in the survey were 249 residents of New Hampshire’s First Congressional District (MSE = +/- 6.2%) and 283 from the Second District (MSE = +/- 5.8%). Also, four hundred seventy-two (472) likely 2016 general election voters are in the sample (MSE = +/- 4.5%). These MSE’s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.2% and 1.2% for the sample of likely 2016 general election voters.

The random sample used in the WMUR Granite State Poll was purchased from Scientific Telephone Samples (STS), Foothill Ranch, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, age, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions.

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