Election 2018 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		18 \|	35 \|
Dem	19
Rep	7
Ind	2
Tos	7

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Toss			Net Gain
	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot
Dem	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	19	0	19	4	0	4	-1
Rep	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	4	2	6	2	1	3	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
AZ	Tie	48%	48%	1%	3%	2	1	0	0	R - O	Tossup
NV	D +1	46%	47%	0%	7%	2	1	0	0	R - I	Tossup
MO	R +2	48%	46%	1%	4%	0	2	0	1	D - I	Tossup
MT	D +2	46%	48%	1%	5%	2	1	0	0	D - I	Tossup
FL	D +3	46%	49%	0%	4%	2	1	0	0	D - I	Tossup
IN	D +3	41%	44%	4%	11%	2	0	0	1	D - I	Tossup
TX	R +4	50%	46%	0%	3%	0	2	0	1	R - I	Tossup
MI	D +5	46%	50%	1%	3%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Lean Dem

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
ND	R +11	54%	42%	0%	4%	0	3	0	0	D - I	Strong Rep

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
MS (S)	11-24	JMC Enterprises	R +10	54%	44%	0%	2%	4%	684 L	20
TX	11-05	Trafalgar Group	R +9	52%	43%	0%	5%	2%	2,135 L	5
MT	11-05	Trafalgar Group	D +1	49%	50%	0%	1%	2%	953 L	13
MI	11-05	Trafalgar Group	D +9	44%	53%	1%	2%	2%	1,817 L	16
MI	11-05	Mitchell Research	D +3	46%	49%	0%	5%	3%	827 L	9
FL	11-05	Trafalgar Group	R +2	49%	47%	0%	4%	3%	1,484 L	10
AZ	11-05	Trafalgar Group	R +2	47%	45%	0%	8%	3%	1,217 L	15
WY	11-04	Change Research	R +29	60%	31%	6%	3%	4%	858 L
PA	11-04	Change Research	D +7	44%	51%	3%	2%	3%	1,833 L
OH	11-04	Change Research	D +10	43%	53%	0%	4%	4%	923 L
NJ	11-04	Change Research	D +10	41%	51%	0%	8%	4%	1,006 L
NJ	11-04	Quinnipiac University	D +15	40%	55%	1%	4%	4%	1,115 L
NV	11-04	Emerson College	D +4	45%	49%	0%	4%	3%	1,197 L
MT	11-04	Change Research	R +3	49%	46%	3%	2%	4%	879 L
MO	11-04	Trafalgar Group	R +4	48%	44%	4%	4%	2%	1,791 L
MS	11-04	Change Research	R +8	48%	40%	8%	4%	4%	1,003 L
MN (S)	11-04	Change Research	D +9	42%	51%	5%	2%	4%	953 L
MN	11-04	Change Research	D +15	40%	55%	5%	0%	4%	953 L
MI	11-04	Change Research	D +2	47%	49%	3%	1%	4%	880 L
MI	11-04	Mitchell Research	D +7	46%	53%	0%	1%	4%	701 L
FL	11-04	St.PetePolls	D +4	46%	50%	0%	4%	2%	3,088 L
FL	11-04	Quinnipiac University	D +7	44%	51%	0%	5%	4%	1,142 L
CA	11-04	Change Research	D +10	0%	42%	32%	26%	4%	1,108 L
WI	11-03	Research Consultants	D +12	44%	56%	0%	0%	4%	399 L	9
PA	11-03	Research Consultants	D +17	41%	58%	1%	0%	4%	436 L	13
OH	11-03	Research Consultants	D +16	42%	58%	0%	0%	4%	415 L	9
NY	11-03	Research Consultants	D +32	34%	66%	0%	0%	4%	414 L	13
NM	11-03	Research Consultants	D +16	36%	52%	12%	0%	4%	412 L	9
MO	11-03	Emerson College	R +3	49%	46%	0%	3%	4%	732 L
MN (S)	11-03	Research Consultants	D +12	43%	55%	2%	0%	4%	406 L	13
MN	11-03	Research Consultants	D +22	38%	60%	2%	0%	4%	397 L	13
MI	11-03	Research Consultants	D +17	41%	58%	1%	0%	4%	402 L	13
FL	11-03	Emerson College	D +5	45%	50%	2%	3%	4%	784 L
FL	11-03	Research Consultants	D +2	49%	51%	0%	0%	4%	417 L	9
CA	11-03	Research Consultants	D +24	0%	62%	38%	0%	4%	335 L	13
AZ	11-03	Emerson College	D +1	48%	49%	2%	2%	4%	758 L
AZ	11-03	Research Consultants	D +1	49%	50%	1%	0%	4%	403 L	9
AZ	11-03	Other Source	R +1	49%	48%	0%	3%	4%	631 L	34
TX	11-02	Change Research	Tie	49%	49%	0%	2%	3%	1,211 L	52
MO	11-02	Remington Research Group	Tie	47%	47%	0%	6%	3%	1,424 L	33
FL	11-02	Change Research	D +2	48%	50%	0%	2%	3%	1,236 L	52
FL	11-02	St.PetePolls	R +1	49%	48%	0%	3%	2%	2,733 L	15
FL	11-02	Gravis Marketing	D +3	47%	50%	0%	3%	4%	753 L	10
FL	11-02	Marist College	D +4	46%	50%	0%	4%	5%	595 L	3
CA	11-02	Survey USA	D +14	0%	50%	36%	14%	5%	806 L	2
AZ	11-02	Gravis Marketing	R +1	47%	46%	0%	7%	3%	1,165 L
VT	11-01	Gravis Marketing	I +36	30%	0%	66%	4%	3%	885 L	4
PA	11-01	Muhlenberg College	D +15	38%	53%	5%	4%	6%	421 L	13
NY	11-01	Siena Research Institute	D +23	35%	58%	0%	7%	4%	641 L	4
NM	11-01	Research & Polling Inc	D +20	31%	51%	12%	6%	3%	993 L	8

Links

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