PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - Inks.LWC (R-MI) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-10-29 Version:13

Prediction Map
Inks.LWC MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Inks.LWC MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+5+6-10-112113+5
Rep+10+1-1-5-612416-5
Ind0000000000


Comments

State Previous Current
AK R50S R40S
CO D50S D60S
ID R60S R40L
IL D50S D40S
IA D40T D40L
ME D40L D40S
MN D40T R40T
OH D50S D60S
OR D40L D50S
PA D50S D60S
SC R50S R60S
I switched MN to Republican due to the fact that it is so close and that Republicans normally win during bad weather—and it is supposed to be colder, so I’ll go with the Reps. Winning it now.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

 By: Cuivienen (I-NJ) - 2006-10-29 @ 12:04:29

Really? I'd expect Democrats to do better in cold weather since their support is concentrated in the cities where the polling stations are closer to home.prediction Map

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2006-11-03 @ 22:01:03

No, it's because the elderly normally vote Democrat and won't go out as often in cold or bad weather.prediction Map

 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-03 @ 22:23:25

I don't get Michigan; Granholm's had a high-single digit lead for some time now. Also, you may want to reconsider your confidence in Idaho. The last two polls has it a tossup (the last one has Brady leading by 5 points).prediction Map

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2006-11-06 @ 12:45:41

I plan on updating it one last time late tonight. As to MI, I'm confident in DeVos.prediction Map

 By: mbjr (I-MN) - 2006-11-06 @ 14:40:39

Actually, it's going to be 65+ degrees (and clear) in Minneapolis on election day tomorrow - near record highs. I assume that means that Hatch will win?prediction Map

 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-06 @ 15:12:23

Oh, snap!

http://www.weather.com/outlook/homeandgarden/schoolday/wxdetail/USMN0503?dayNum=1&from=search
prediction Map

 By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) - 2006-11-06 @ 23:23:38

ya, so much for Wx!prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 292
P 2019 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 4 14T192
P 2018 Senate 31/35 25/35 56/70 80.0% pie 1 1 42T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 26/36 56/72 77.8% pie 1 3 94T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 2 40T149
P 2016 President 52/56 35/56 87/112 77.7% pie 2 1 35T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 23/34 54/68 79.4% pie 1 1 6T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 2 1 67T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 11 8T112
P 2014 Senate 33/36 24/36 57/72 79.2% pie 3 5 82T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 18/36 47/72 65.3% pie 3 1 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 6 17T153
P 2012 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 7 1 115T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 5 1 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 1 51T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 37 - 22T231
P 2011 Governor 3/4 1/4 4/8 50.0% pie 1 332 79T106
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 16 0 21T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 8 0 17T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 6 1T103
P 2008 President 51/56 45/56 96/112 85.7% pie 32 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 14 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 10 1 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 42/52 26/52 68/104 65.4% pie 30 - 20T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 19/49 60/98 61.2% pie 31 - 11T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 4 21 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 10 2 232T465
P 2006 Governor 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 14 1 36T312
P 2004 President 51/56 25/56 76/112 67.9% pie 24 4 1441T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 730/816 501/816 1231/1632 75.4% pie


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