Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-03 Version:4

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	11
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	10
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+8	+10	0	0	0	13	1	14	+10
Rep	0	0	0	-3	-8	-11	10	1	11	-11
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	31	20

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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-03 @ 21:04:12

May I ask what specifically you think will push Davis over the edge in Florida?

By: CollectiveInterest (I-IL) - 2006-11-03 @ 21:58:25

Voters growing weery of Republican generally and specifically the hypocrisy on issues of sexuality.

Who wants a governor who is a sex scandal waiting to happen?

By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-03 @ 22:46:17

I still think Davis can't pull it off with only 4 days to go. He just hasn't built the name rec. he needs to win in a Rep. trending state.

By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-04 @ 00:24:36

I never thought of Crist's sexuality being an issue. At least not a major issue. What do you think Whitney's percentage will end up being in Illinois?

By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-04 @ 03:44:14

Based on recent polls I would say 12-14%.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%	37	1	100	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	19/33	49/66	74.2%	17	6	144	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	1	343	152	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	35	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%	6	4	156	T	465
2006 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%	4	4	122	T	312
2004 President	43/56	22/56	65/112	58.0%	42	1	1721	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	201/228	131/228	332/456	72.8%

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