PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - jas (I-ZMB) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-04 Version:7

Prediction Map
jas MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
jas MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+5+700013114+7
Rep000-2-5-711415-7
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
643529
piepiepie

Comments

Probably my final changes:
AK: Lean Rep to Strong Rep
CA: Lean Rep to Strong Rep
ID: Strong Rep to Lean Rep
IA: Tossup Dem to Lean Dem
ME: Lean Dem to Strong Dem
MD: Strong Dem to Lean Dem
MI: Lean Dem to Strong Dem
MN: Tossup Rep to Lean Dem
NV: Strong Rep to Lean Rep
OR: Lean Dem to Strong Dem
RI: Tossup Rep to Strong Rep
WI: Lean Dem to Storng Dem


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 6

Confidence Changes:
AK - Tossup Dem to Lean Rep
CA - Tossup Rep to Lean Rep
CO - Lean Dem to Strong Dem
FL - Lean Rep to Strong Rep
IL - Lean Dem to Strong Dem
IA - Lean Dem to Tossup Dem
ME - Tossup Dem to Lean Dem
MD - Lean Dem to Strong Dem
MI - Tossup Rep to Lean Dem
WI - Tossup Dem to Lean Dem


Version: 5

Changes:
AK - Lean Dem to Tossup Dem
AR - Lean Dem to Strong Dem
CA - Tossup Dem to Tossup Rep
ME - Tossup Rep to Tossup Dem
MN - Tossup Rep to Tossup Dem
OR - Tossup Dem to Lean Dem


Version: 4

Major Changes
Colorado: Tossup to Lean Dem
Illinois: Tossup to Lean Dem
Maine: Tossup Dem to Tossup Rep
Maryland: Tossup to Lean Dem
Massachussets: Lean to Strong Dem
Minnesotta: Lean to Tossup Dem
Oklahoma: Lean to Strong Dem


Version: 3

Changes:
Alabama - Lean to Strong Rep
Alaska - Tossup to Lean Dem
Illinois - Tossup Rep to Tossup Dem
Iowa - Tossup to Lean Dem
Michigan - Tossup Dem to Tossup Rep
Pennsylvania - Lean to Strong Dem
Tennessee - Lean to Strong Dem

As before, some percentage changes were made.


Version: 2

Changes:
Alaska - Tossup R to Tossup D
Florida - Strong R to Lean R
Hawaii - Lean R to Strong R
Kansas - Lean D to Strong D
Maine - Tossup R to Tossup D
Massachussets - Tossup D to Lean D
New Hampshire - Lean D to Strong D
Ohio - Lean D to Strong D
Oklahoma - Tossup D to Lean D
Rhode Island - Lean R to Tossup R

Plenty of percentage changes also.


Version: 1

Based on polls, speculation, hunches and randon button mashing...


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President 50/56 32/56 82/112 73.2% pie 3 0 149T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 21/34 53/68 77.9% pie 2 1 16T
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 2 1 25T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 0 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 3 1 77T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 21/33 53/66 80.3% pie 2 1 56T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 3 51T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 3 0 34T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 3 0 17T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T
P 2008 President 53/56 45/56 98/112 87.5% pie 8 0 41T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 4 1 14T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 3 1 9T
P 2008 Dem Primary 43/52 25/52 68/104 65.4% pie 16 - 20T
P 2008 Rep Primary 36/49 20/49 56/98 57.1% pie 14 - 21T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 80 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 7 3 31T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 7 3 6T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 19 1 49T
Aggregate Predictions 560/609 411/609 971/1218 79.7% pie


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