Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	13
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+7	+8	0	0	0	13	1	14	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-7	-9	11	2	13	-9
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	33	19

Comments

Final Predection

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

Well folks?

Version History

Member Comments

By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-05 @ 01:26:05

Your confidence map is just beyond reason. Democrats have a twenty point lead in Massachusetts and a 30 point lead in Oklahoma yet you seem to think thats a tossup? Same thing in Hawaii where Republicans have a 30 point lead. All that combined with your safe GOP rating in Idaho shows that you have no idea whats really going on. Try looking at a poll maybe.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%	3	3	133	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	19/36	52/72	72.2%	2	3	107	T	312
2004 President	51/56	12/56	63/112	56.3%	3	100	1744	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	115/125	51/125	166/250	66.4%

Links

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