Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:44

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	12
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	12
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+8	+10	0	0	0	13	1	14	+10
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-8	-10	11	1	12	-10
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	32	18

Comments

This is my final prediction map, no comments allowed. Hopefully it's coming up to be that the Democrats surprisingly take Idaho and Nevada. The west is becoming less GOP.

I also think Florida may go surprisingly to Davis in Florida, due to some recent gaffes and a scandal for Crist.

And I believe I'm seeing tightening between Perdue, R. and Taylor, D. in Georgia and I think that this will head into a runoff and I suspect that the Lt. Governor's race will also be pushed into a December 5th runoff.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	23/37	10/37	33/74	44.6%	3	325	441	T	456
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	2	2	56	T	103
2008 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%	98	1	474	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%	21	1	257	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	8	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	7/52	36/104	34.6%	8	-	124	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	21/49	1/49	22/98	22.4%	11	-	152	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	4	16	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%	51	1	113	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%	44	1	132	T	312
2004 President	46/56	38/56	84/112	75.0%	114	1	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	280/368	148/368	428/736	58.2%

Links

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