PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - Gustaf (D-SWE) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2006-11-07 Version:20

Prediction Map
Gustaf MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Gustaf MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+5+700013114+7
Rep000-2-5-711415-7
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613526
piepiepie

Comments
No Comments Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 19

In light of the Mason-Dixon I made the move on Minnesota. Also flipped Alaska and Maryland to tossup now.


Version: 18

Changed a lot of races to less competitive designations.


Version: 17

Changed Idaho and Pennsylvania percentages, making both a little closer.


Version: 16

Switched Maine back to Democrat again, given all that has happened I don't think the climate is right for a GOP takeover here. I also moved CT down to 50%, beginning to wonder whether it might be appropriate to designate it as lean too (my lean category is pretty generous).


Version: 15

Moved a couple of races further towards the Democrats.


Version: 14

Some minor percentage changes.


Version: 13

Did a little fine-tuning of percentages and confidence levels based on recent polling. No major changes though.


Version: 12

Moved Alaska to lean Rep, sadly. Because of my superstition I also moved Maine to Republican pick-up. They should be able to pick off ONE seat, at least...


Version: 11

Moved California to lean Rep. Schwarzenegger seems to be running away now, with ever-larger leads.


Version: 10

In view of Ritter moving ahead in polls I'm changing it to lean Dem. Seem slike Colorado's Democratic trend continues.Alaska I'm losing hope with. It won't be Murkowski in the general, he got too unpopular. This Palin woman seems to be a strong candidate, and Knowles is not getting there in polls. Cautiously moving it back into the GOP column. With Granholm pulling level again I expect her to squeak through against DeVos.


Version: 8

Moved Alaska to Democrats. If the race is confirmed as Knowles v Murkowski, I'll probably move it to lean. But I'd like a poll of this one!


Version: 7

Switched PA to lean and Florida to tossup. IF this keeps up Republicans are not going to have a nice November.


Version: 6

Switched Rhode Island to tossup, for the fun of it.


Version: 5

Switched Illinois back to Dem, raised Douglas percentage to 60+ and well, that was pretty much it this time. :)


Version: 4

Took another look at the polls and shifted a few percentages, strong-lean-tossup status, etc. I moved Maine to lean Dem, compared to tossup-GOP in the last version. Also moved Colorado to GOP, no real reason to predict a pick-up here yet.


Version: 3

CHanged RI to lean in light of the new poll. ALso shifted a few percentages around.


Version: 2

Changed some mistakes (like not changing California's results). Also flipped Illinois and Maine to the GOP to make things more fair. I feel that tossups should be more or less equally distributed between the parties, otherwise you're probably being biased.


Version: 1

Early prediction. But there is a bug in it. ops. :P


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 570
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 329
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 224
P 2019 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 4 130T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 21/35 54/70 77.1% pie 5 1 106T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 3 3 6T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 50 1T149
P 2016 President 50/56 32/56 82/112 73.2% pie 3 1 149T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 2 1 35T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 5/12 13/24 54.2% pie 1 1 119T279
P 2014 Senate 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 5 2 99T382
P 2014 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 2 1 15T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 1 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 11 3 47T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 15/33 45/66 68.2% pie 1 46 198T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 46 51T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 47/52 27/52 74/104 71.2% pie 28 - 2231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 1 60 37T106
P 2010 Senate 33/37 21/37 54/74 73.0% pie 3 72 151T456
P 2010 Governor 32/37 20/37 52/74 70.3% pie 2 72 143T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 1 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 45/56 97/112 86.6% pie 11 0 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 4 0 28T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 1 0 152T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 42/52 19/52 61/104 58.7% pie 16 - 38T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 39/49 22/49 61/98 62.2% pie 20 - 9T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 172 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 13 0 65T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 26/36 61/72 84.7% pie 20 0 22T312
P 2004 President 51/56 39/56 90/112 80.4% pie 6 14 219T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 735/813 496/813 1231/1626 75.7% pie


Back to 2006 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved