PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - RepubforDem (R-IL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-07 Version:10

Prediction Map
RepubforDem MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
RepubforDem MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages

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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-07 @ 00:18:31

Here goes, last Gubernatorial prediction. I mostly changed percentages here, as some of the incumbents are running better than I thought they would.

Obviously, the two I am least confident about are Illinois and Maryland. Ehrlich has a good chance to pull this one out but it will be close. The result in Illinois depends on how the third party candidate will do on Tuesday. Against conventional wisdom, most people are voting for Whitney as a protest against the two major party candidates. IF Whitney gets 10% or less, Topinka can pull this one out. If Whitney gets more than 10%, Topinka is doomed. Currently, Whitney is polling between 7-16% Either way, Blagojevich is a horrible governor, in many ways worse than George Ryan, and if re-elected, Blagojevich maybe forced out of office from corruption charges. Blagojevich is currently and consistently polling at 44%
prediction Map

 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-07 @ 01:00:49

does anyone know what the latest time we are allowed to switch our maps is?prediction Map

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-07 @ 01:15:45

Next week. prediction Map

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-07 @ 01:16:06

Seriously though, I don't know. prediction Map

 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 10:48:38

Noon today (EST). It's at the top of the page here:

Last Edit: 2006-11-07 @ 10:49:24
prediction Map

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 14 1 156T465
P 2006 Governor 31/36 18/36 49/72 68.1% pie 10 0 147T312
Aggregate Predictions 64/69 35/69 99/138 71.7% pie

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