Election 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-04-16 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	6
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	13
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	-2	-1	-3	11	0	11	0
Rep	+2	+1	+3	-1	-2	-3	13	6	19	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
36	28	8

Comments
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Member Comments

By: ian (D-AR) - 2006-04-24 @ 15:36:02

Akno, why would Lynch be defeated? His approvals are through the roof, I'm pretty sure. Maybe you got him confused with Baldacci in Maine; I did that.

By: MatthewVA (D-VA) - 2006-04-27 @ 01:02:10

Gov. Lynch (D) in NH should be heavily favored for reelection given his approval ratings.

Second, while I acknowledge that a Republican retention in Ohio is well within the realm of possibility, I don't think the race could be characterized as "Strong Republican"

By: Gustaf (D-SWE) - 2006-05-03 @ 11:01:22

I think this is yet another case of someone forgetting that California and New Hampshire switched in between 2002 and 2006.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 Governor	28/36	8/36	36/72	50.0%	1	205	289	T	312
2004 President	52/56	19/56	71/112	63.4%	4	24	1608	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	80/92	27/92	107/184	58.2%

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