PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - BushCountry (I-IN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:103

Prediction Map
BushCountry MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BushCountry MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+6+700013114+7
Rep000-1-6-712315-7
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613328
piepiepie

Comments

Final Predictions!: Democrats take majority of Statehouses included critical Ohio, Colorado and New York.

Maine: Baldacci is bumbling at the end, he should win with a plurality, but this race has been unstable.

New Hampshire: Lynch by landslide.

Vermont: Douglas doesn't fail, wins with over 50%.

Massachusetts: Deval Patrick makes history, is elected first black governor of Bay State.

Rhode Island: Carcieri survives a scare and holds on for victory.

Connecticut: Rell will win and has the chance of breaking Rowland's record of 63% in 1998.

New York: They should've been engraving Spitzer's name on the governor's office months ago...not a contest by any means.

Pennsylvania: Swan is sunk, Rendell will win by several touchdowns.

Ohio: No sweat, Strickland takes Ohio for the Democrats, their sweetest win. Strickland will also sweep on his coattails a Senate seat and a couple of House seats too.

Michigan: DeVos is dead, Granholm easily pulls out a convincing win.

Maryland: This one will be a squeaker, but Ehrlich has the momentum. Ehrlich scrapes by in a major upset.

South Carolina: Sanford stays.

Georgia: Sonny Perdue wins and without Reed down ticket.

Florida: Davis is catching up, and the race is unstable, but Crist should be able to pull out a victory of at leats a couple of points.

Alabama: Riley recovered very early on and has since let comfortably.

Tennessee: This one is the biggest joke race of them all. Bredeson is in easily.

Illinois: Lincoln's Party flops again in Lincoln Land. Blagojevich will win, though he hardly earned it. With enemies like these, who needs friends?

Wisconsin: Close, but Doyle has never been behind. Doyle should win.

Minnesota: This one is up in the air, but with how badly the Republicans are doing down ticket here, I'm thinking Pawlenty is gonners.

Iowa: This race was consistently close till the very end and has since broken towards the Democrats.

Arkansas: The Democrats are back in Little Rock!

Texas: The most bizarre race in the nation, ends anticlimatically with a very low percentage win for Perry.

Oklahoma: Where Henry comes winning!

Kansas: Sebelius has been a shrewd operator and will be handsomely rewarded with a second term.

Nebraska: Heineman, and how!

South Dakota: Mike Rounds wins despite controversy. In fact it's been too quiet.

New Mexico: Richardson wins, but you already knew that.

Colorado: Apart from Ohio, this is the Democrats' second big snag. Ritter didn't fritter his lead away, the way O'Malley did.

Wyoming: Freudenthal will win a landslide after his initial squeaker.

Idaho: I don't know, but something tells me a surpise win here will be the icing on the cake for the Democrats.

Nevada: Gibbons has really screwed up what otherwise would've been a coronation. Titus has a chance, but my gambler's spirit tells me to bet on Gibbons.

Oregon: Kulongoski has benefitted from a crappy opponent. He'll win unimpressively.

Califorina: He'll be back! The Governator, just like in the 2003 original, comes back from a deficit to win convincingly. Hasta la vista Angelides!

Alaska: Pallin will win, but this race will be going on to the wee hours of the morning.

Hawaii: Lingle only has to worry about voters not showing up because she's so certain to win. But in a Democratic state like Hawaii, a Republican can't be too careless.










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User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 33/35 23/35 56/70 80.0% pie 46 4 42T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 45 6 226T
P 2016 President 51/56 38/56 89/112 79.5% pie 63 1 17T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 24/34 56/68 82.4% pie 55 1 1
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 25 1 25T
P 2014 Senate 33/36 26/36 59/72 81.9% pie 34 1 42T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 16/36 46/72 63.9% pie 31 0 123T
P 2012 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 157 0 401T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 66 0 111T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 21 0 5T
P 2012 Rep Primary 42/52 18/52 60/104 57.7% pie 105 - 41T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 0 37T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 93 2 34T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 94 1 59T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 14 1 1T
P 2008 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 183 1 115T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 101 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 43 1 86T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 8 2 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 94 1 46T
P 2006 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 103 1 22T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 140 2 49T
Aggregate Predictions 646/705 459/705 1105/1410 78.4% pie


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