PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - dmurphy1984 (R-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-05-15 Version:1

Prediction Map
dmurphy1984 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
dmurphy1984 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos14
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+4+500013114+5
Rep000-1-4-513417-5
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
523517
piepiepie

Comments

Well, the NYS GOP are absolutely incompetent, as in 2 years they have come up with no viable candidates for Senate of the Governorship, so both go Democratic. Bob Ehrlich of Maryland also faces troubles, and I believe that Massachusetts may also go back to the Democrats. However, I believe Arnold Schwarzenegger may actually hang on as the California Democrats do not seem to have their act together.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 1 12 28T
P 2016 President 53/56 38/56 91/112 81.3% pie 1 1 8T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 18/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 1 120T
P 2014 Senate 36/36 26/36 62/72 86.1% pie 2 1 4T
P 2012 President 50/56 39/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 5 508T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 1 0 144T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 27/37 60/74 81.1% pie 4 0 54T
P 2008 President 49/56 32/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 7 474T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 6 113T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 1 176 107T
P 2004 President 55/56 37/56 92/112 82.1% pie 15 11 126T
Aggregate Predictions 436/466 296/466 732/932 78.5% pie


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