PredictionsEndorse2006 Gubernatorial Predictions - jdb (D-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-04 Version:11

Prediction Map
jdb MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
jdb MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
36 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+6+900013114+9
Rep000-3-6-910313-9
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
523319
piepiepie

Comments
No Comments Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-04 @ 16:45:40

I'm not you can say Idaho is safe either way at this point.prediction Map

 By: jdb (D-OH) - 2006-11-05 @ 21:34:06

ignore the confidence map.prediction Map

 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-05 @ 22:04:56

Rhode Island isn't looking great for Fogarty. On the other hand, Idaho and Nevada have come into play to compensate.

Last Edit: 2006-11-05 @ 22:05:29
prediction Map

 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-06 @ 00:26:10

If Gibbon's loses then Dems are likely going to sweep the House seats in Nevada.prediction Map

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-06 @ 01:26:34

I am not so sure. Gibbons is his own worst enemy. His problems may result in a very small surge towards the Democrats, but it doesn't appear to be enough for Democrats to pull it out. Its going to be a very interesting election in Idaho and Nevada though. prediction Map

 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-06 @ 02:45:09

Thats sort of what I was getting at. If Gibbons were to actually lose (which I find unlikely at this point) it would take a dramatic shift towards the Democrats that would have to be great enough to defeat at least one Republican in either NV-2 or NV-3 as well.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2014 Senate 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 4 21 99T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 20/36 50/72 69.4% pie 2 23 39T300
P 2012 President 56/56 48/56 104/112 92.9% pie 4 93 13T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 7 0 111T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 48 5T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 18/52 62/104 59.6% pie 26 - 34T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 54 0 63T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 46 0 74T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 109 92T103
P 2008 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 6 17 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 16/33 49/66 74.2% pie 5 3 144T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 10/11 21/22 95.5% pie 1 148 3T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 1/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 166 102T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 15/33 47/66 71.2% pie 11 3 232T465
P 2006 Governor 33/36 19/36 52/72 72.2% pie 11 3 107T312
Aggregate Predictions 440/472 285/472 725/944 76.8% pie


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