PredictionsEndorse2007 Gubernatorial Predictions - Chris Brown (D-AZ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2007-06-17 Version:2

Prediction Map
Chris Brown MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Chris Brown MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non47
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
3 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non47
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1000011+1
Rep000-10-1101-1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
321
piepiepie

Comments

I think that no candidate will get a majority in the Louisiana Primary, but Jindal will finish first, the two main Democrats second and third, and the other Republican fourth. The race will then go to a runoff, in which case the Democrat will win by less than 1-3% because the Democratic voters will unite and some of the voters who voted for the other Republican, many because of Jindal's race, will then vote for the conservative white male Democrat in the runoff.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

 By: Eytan (D-ISR) - 2007-06-18 @ 06:19:15

I think Jindal might break 50% in the first round.prediction Map

 By: Chris Brown (D-AZ) - 2007-06-21 @ 11:28:10

He might, but I think Louisiana is more Democratic in state politics than a lot of people realize.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 3 35 132T
P 2018 Governor 33/36 16/36 49/72 68.1% pie 1 53 241T
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 12 0 194T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 8 27 164T
P 2016 Governor 10/12 5/12 15/24 62.5% pie 8 0 47T
P 2014 Senate 31/36 19/36 50/72 69.4% pie 2 543 217T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 14/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 543 145T
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 223 138T
P 2012 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 3 3 401T
P 2012 Senate 28/33 16/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 3 211T
P 2012 Governor 7/11 4/11 11/22 50.0% pie 1 42 211T
P 2010 Senate 32/37 16/37 48/74 64.9% pie 3 1 265T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 18/37 52/74 70.3% pie 3 1 143T
P 2008 President 52/56 42/56 94/112 83.9% pie 57 141 115T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 15/33 45/66 68.2% pie 2 255 257T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 255 86T
P 2008 Dem Primary 36/52 10/52 46/104 44.2% pie 3 - 84
P 2008 Rep Primary 12/49 3/49 15/98 15.3% pie 1 - 182T
P 2007 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 2 142 135T
Aggregate Predictions 515/625 295/625 810/1250 64.8% pie


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