Election 2007 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-08-12 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	3
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	-1
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	2	0	2	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
4	2	2

Comments

Rep. Bobby Jindal (R-Louisiana, 1st District) is the leading frontrunner. I do not know of any leading Democrats at this point of trying to succeed Governor Blanco.

Governor Ernie Fletcher (R-Kentucky) has a possible GOP Challenger Former Rep. Anne Northrup (R-Kentucky). Though, Governor Fletcher had ethical lapses and will see how he fights the challenge in the Primary and General Election.

Governor Haley Barbour (R-Mississippi) is leading front runner with token opposition so far.

Member Comments

By: Fabian Fastman (D-CA) - 2007-08-13 @ 14:54:37

Kentucky has no shot of staying Republican; Beshear's smoking Fletcher in all polls conducted so far.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	38/56	16/56	54/112	48.2%	2	357	1443	T	1,505
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	86	102	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	40/59	18/59	58/118	49.2%

Links

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