Election 2007 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-10-16 Version:4

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	1	0	1	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
5	3	2

Comments

In light of new polls, I changed KY to 50%.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 3

KY D50L --> D60S

Version: 2

OK fine - KY will go Dem. - the polls have now convinced me.

Version: 1

After Blanco's poor performance during Katrina (I didn't know I was supposed to dispatch MY STATE's National Guard) - it's gonna be a Republican takeover.

My bad - made an error, and accidentally picked 50% for LA last time - fixed now!

My bad again - forgot to change it to strong after changing it to 60%

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	/56	/56	/112	%					682
2020 Senate	/35	/35	/70	%					422
2020 Governor	/11	/11	/22	%					292
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	4	14	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	1	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	26/36	56/72	77.8%	1	3	94	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	2	40	T	149
2016 President	52/56	35/56	87/112	77.7%	2	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	23/34	54/68	79.4%	1	1	6	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%	2	1	67	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	11	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%	3	5	82	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%	3	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	2	6	17	T	153
2012 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%	7	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	5	1	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%	37	-	22	T	231
2011 Governor	3/4	1/4	4/8	50.0%	1	332	79	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	16	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	27/37	62/74	83.8%	8	0	17	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	5	6	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	45/56	96/112	85.7%	32	1	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	14	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	10	1	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	26/52	68/104	65.4%	30	-	20	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	19/49	60/98	61.2%	31	-	11	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	4	21	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	10	2	232	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%	14	1	36	T	312
2004 President	51/56	25/56	76/112	67.9%	24	4	1441	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	730/816	501/816	1231/1632	75.4%

Links

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