Election 2007 Gubernatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2007-10-16 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	2
Rep	1
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	+1
Rep	0	+1	+1	-2	0	-2	0	0	0	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
4	2	2

Comments

This would be a tee-hee moment if a Democratic Governor candidate in Mississippi really talked conservative Christians away from the corporate Barbour - like that would really happen - but if by some fluke it did then at least I made up this outlandish map. Mississippi has had some surprises before.

Even funnier would be a Democratic sweep - not gonna do it - wouldn't be prudent.

If Jindal wins outright in the primary then Mary Landrieu needs to be shaking in her boots as that means she is in big trouble. But if Jindal has to go to a runoff I think Democrats should have cause to celebrate because Jindal's victory has been a foregone conclusion all year long.

Kentucky- Beshear will indeed pull off a double digit win to take the governor's seat and will take the Sec'y of State office with his coattails.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	48/56	36/56	84/112	75.0%	14	9	382	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	4	9	172	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	345	212	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	20/52	63/104	60.6%	4	-	34	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	29/49	12/49	41/98	41.8%	4	-	91	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	2	21	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	15/33	48/66	72.7%	9	2	207	T	465
2006 Governor	32/36	21/36	53/72	73.6%	6	2	93	T	312
2004 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%	8	9	1285	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	275/329	159/329	434/658	66.0%

Links

Back to 2007 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home