Election 2007 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-09-06 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	1	0	1	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
5	3	2

Comments

Probably my last prediction on the governors. Kentucky will see Beshear get somewhere in the high 50s percent while Louisiana will go Republican. Barbour is easily re-elected somewhere in the low 60s.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	30/56	13/56	43/112	38.4%	28	269	1484	T	1,505
2008 Senate	28/33	11/33	39/66	59.1%	1	348	358	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%	1	348	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	30/52	9/52	39/104	37.5%	11	-	110	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	20/49	5/49	25/98	25.5%	7	-	141	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	3	61	58	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	122/204	45/204	167/408	40.9%

Links

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