Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-11-09 Version:1

Prediction Map

BRTD Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

BRTD Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	3
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	6
Rep	3
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	0	0	0	4	2	6	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-2	0	-2	3	0	3	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Also subject to many changes.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: BenNebbich (O-NAM) 2007-12-07 @ 02:58:21
indiana would be a nice pick for the dems. but i hardly believe it. Last Edit: 2007-12-23 @ 20:41:26

By: wingindy (I-IN) 2008-05-27 @ 00:10:47
Property tax issues which led to the defeat of incumbant mayor Peterson will be squarely in Daniels' lap in the fall.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	2	74	T	115
2022 Senate	35/35	29/35	64/70	91.4%		1	1	7	T	305
2022 Governor	36/36	26/36	62/72	86.1%		1	1	23	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	7	48	T	118
2020 President	50/56	41/56	91/112	81.3%		2	10	359	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%		2	4	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		2	7	147	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	16/35	48/70	68.6%		1	4	306	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%		2	3	94	T	372
2016 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%		4	1	280	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	18/34	47/68	69.1%		1	2	213	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%		1	2	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	6	8	T	112
2014 Senate	32/36	22/36	54/72	75.0%		2	1	138	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	13/36	42/72	58.3%		4	1	211	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	2	1	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		3	0	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		4	0	11	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		3	0	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	18/52	63/104	60.6%		28	-	27	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	22/37	56/74	75.7%		16	1	116	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%		9	1	91	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	17	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%		13	1	178	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%		8	1	14	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%		6	1	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	45/52	27/52	72/104	69.2%		17	-	7	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	30/49	11/49	41/98	41.8%		16	-	91	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		2	159	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%		19	1	65	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	17/36	51/72	70.8%		26	1	122	T	312
2004 President	49/56	37/56	86/112	76.8%		7	21	591	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	882/985	587/985	1469/1970	74.6%

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