Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-06-13 Version:2

Prediction Map

Liberallover Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Liberallover Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	3
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	3
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	4	2	6	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	3	0	3	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
16	10	6

Analysis

Could Indiana surprise is this way? Could it go for Obama and elect a Democratic governor? Could the Dems pull it off? 08 is the year to do it.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2020 President	53/56	37/56	90/112	80.4%		28	6	392	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	17/35	49/70	70.0%		14	17	309	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		6	3	170	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		4	5	260	T	372
2016 President	48/56	25/56	73/112	65.2%		24	1	496	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	16/34	48/68	70.6%		8	0	164	T	362
2014 Senate	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%		15	2	240	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		8	2	123	T	300
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		46	1	182	T	760
2012 Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%		11	1	40	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		3	43	24	T	228
2010 Senate	36/37	19/37	55/74	74.3%		53	7	133	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	20/37	55/74	74.3%		12	1	118	T	312
2008 President	55/56	41/56	96/112	85.7%		79	0	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%		10	24	204	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		2	144	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	6/52	3/52	9/104	8.7%		2	-	235	T	271
Aggregate Predictions	559/650	343/650	902/1300	69.4%

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