PredictionsEndorse2008 Gubernatorial Predictions - Conrad (I-AUS) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map
Conrad MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Conrad MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem7
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000426+1
Rep0000-1-1404-1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
17116
piepiepie

Analysis

Very, very similar to my only Gubernatorial prediction map created earlier in 2008, however the only modification to this map is the percentages. Once more, I believe that the only Gubernatorial seat that will change hands in 2008 will be that of out going Governor Roy Blunt's. With longtime Attorney-General Jay Nixon assuming the Governor's office.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2008 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 14 0 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 21/33 53/66 80.3% pie 3 3 57T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 0 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 44/52 21/52 65/104 62.5% pie 14 - 28T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 40/49 16/49 56/98 57.1% pie 15 - 21T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 137 58T167
Aggregate Predictions 184/204 105/204 289/408 70.8% pie


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