Election 2008 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-22 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	4
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	4
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	4	2	6	+1
Rep	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	4	0	4	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
16	11	5

Analysis

These polls are pretty straight forward. There are only two toss-ups. North Carolina and Washington. I predict both go to the Democrats. If McCain wins North Carolina, it could possibly also vote for the Republican gubernatorial candidate.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President
2016 Senate	28/34	14/34	42/68	61.8%	4	27	327	T	362
2016 Governor	6/12	2/12	8/24	33.3%	2	177	274	T	279
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%	7	0	182	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	10/33	40/66	60.6%	1	21	252	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%	1	21	196	T	228
2008 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%	25	0	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%	3	9	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%	1	13	152	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	226/246	144/246	370/492	75.2%

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