Election 2009 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2009-10-30 Version:3

Prediction Map

Xahar Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Xahar Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	1
Ind	0
Non	48

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	48

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	-1
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
2	1	1

Analysis

What was I thinking?

Nobody's getting a majority in New Jersey.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

Ah, that's more like it.

Version: 1

The Machine will come through for Corzine.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	55	48	T	118
2016 President	44/56	17/56	61/112	54.5%		2	11	643	T	678
2012 Rep Primary	4/52	1/52	5/104	4.8%		5	-	217	T	231
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	4	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%		7	1	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%		4	7	172	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%		1	7	183	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	24/52	1/52	25/104	24.0%		3	-	177	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	14/49	5/49	19/98	19.4%		2	-	162	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	181/313	87/313	268/626	42.8%

Links

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