Election 2009 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2009-11-02 Version:4

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	48

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	2 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	48

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	0	0	0	-2
Rep	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
4	2	2

Analysis

At this point my confidence in Virginia being a Republican pick-up has gone from "Lean" to "Strong". I think all bets are off there. New Jersey remains a Republican pick-up with confidence remaining toss-up. I'll be keeping a close eye on New Jersey on Tuesday evening.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	4	1	1	T	103
Aggregate Predictions	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%

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