PredictionsEndorse2009 Gubernatorial Predictions - hoshie (D-NC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2009-10-15 Version:1

Prediction Map
hoshie MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
hoshie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-1-1101-1
Rep0+1+1000000+1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
211
piepiepie

Analysis

As for NJ, I see Corzine winning narrowly due to the independent candidate in the race. As for VA, I see a GOP victory as Deeds has ran a weak campaign overall.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2014 Senate 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 6 9 99T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 1 1 73T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 1 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 41/56 96/112 85.7% pie 3 14 265T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 6 3 94T343
P 2010 Senate 34/37 14/37 48/74 64.9% pie 3 2 265T456
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 19 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 31/56 83/112 74.1% pie 1 6 404T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 1 6 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 6 86T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 31 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 15/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 3 207T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 18/36 53/72 73.6% pie 2 0 93T312
P 2004 President 54/56 20/56 74/112 66.1% pie 6 1 1527T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 409/430 225/430 634/860 73.7% pie


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