Election 2010 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-22 Version:25

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	14
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	8
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+7	+7	-3	-9	-12	4	3	7	-5
Rep	+3	+9	+12	0	-7	-7	6	5	11	+5
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

This is my election prediction for governorships, I will not have time to update again so I listed everything as 50% meaning I am sure this is my prediction.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2010-10-22 @ 08:37:34
Although a couple of my predictions are out on a limb like Vermont, Florida and a couple of others...

By: KS21 (I-KS) 2010-10-23 @ 12:40:15
Hmm...

By: MilesC56 (I-VA) 2010-10-27 @ 11:40:10
Abercrombie isn't gonna win with 30%...

By: MilesC56 (I-VA) 2010-10-27 @ 11:41:34
But as far as the actual races, you're map should be pretty accurate.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	16/56	66/112	58.9%	8	1	614	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	11/34	43/68	63.2%	8	0	317	T	362
2014 Senate	32/36	16/36	48/72	66.7%	19	13	240	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%	2	162	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	229	1	T	153
2012 President	54/56	30/56	84/112	75.0%	46	2	630	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%	8	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	78	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	26/52	4/52	30/104	28.8%	1	-	154	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	11/37	45/74	60.8%	50	7	306	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%	26	6	143	T	312
2008 President	53/56	24/56	77/112	68.8%	83	1	625	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	4	122	281	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	286	212	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	427/490	179/490	606/980	61.8%