The hardest gubernatorial races to handicap are the threeways in CO and MA. The GOP would win both without the third party candidates. As it is, I am splitting my losses and giving CO to the Dems and MA to the GOP. For the other tossups, recent polling suggests wins for the GOP in CT and OR. The Dems seem to lead in HI, CA, and VT. Polling in FL is all over the place, but because of the early voting numbers, I tipped it to Scott. And in MN, the race is razor tight, but I tipped it to the Dems bc MN never fails to disappoint me. Ehrlich may be doing better than polls show in MD, but if they are right, he's in trouble. The only other race that bears mentioning is OH, where if John Kasich doesn't win and by a pretty healthy margin, I will eat my shoe. Any polls showing otherwise are just flat wrong.