PredictionsEndorse2011 Gubernatorial Predictions - bluemcdowell (D-WV) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2011-10-03 Version:5

Prediction Map
bluemcdowell MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
bluemcdowell MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Non46
 

Confidence States Won
3 |
4 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep2
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non46
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000001120
Rep0000001120
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
743
piepiepie

Analysis

Wow I hope and pray Tomblin pulls this one out. He only leads by a 47-46 margin right now. We don't need a Tea Bagger as governor.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 4

The gubernatorial race in my home state has tightened up, much to my unpleasant surprise. I still think Tomblin will prevail in the end, but it doesn't look nearly as good as I thought it would be.

On the other hand in my 2nd favorite state Kentucky Steve Beshear currently looks very good, at least for now. It will be very interesting to see if he loses support just like Tomblin. So far that doesn't look it's happening, unlike here in WV.

Wait and see as always!


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2020 President
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 135 0 24T
P 2018 Governor 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 66 2 122T
P 2016 President 51/56 23/56 74/112 66.1% pie 290 1 473T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 22 13 122T
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 85 2 401T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 5 36 2T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 63 0 63T
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 167 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 21 7 117T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 16 0 50T
P 2007 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 4 27 135T
Aggregate Predictions 343/363 224/363 567/726 78.1% pie


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